diff --git a/.env b/.env
index 5954fb1..c2fd8fc 100644
--- a/.env
+++ b/.env
@@ -62,7 +62,7 @@ TIME_SERIES_FORECAST_ENABLED=true
 TIME_SERIES_MIN_CANDLES=120
 TIME_SERIES_FORECAST_HORIZON=3
 TIME_SERIES_MIN_EDGE_PERCENT=0.10
-TIME_SERIES_MIN_PROBABILITY_UP=0.52
+TIME_SERIES_MIN_PROBABILITY_UP=0.57
 TIME_SERIES_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.4
 TIME_SERIES_MAX_ADJUSTMENT=0.08
 TIME_SERIES_LSTM_ENABLED=true
diff --git a/runtime/torch_threshold_calibration.json b/runtime/torch_threshold_calibration.json
index 0361a6c..773a6a7 100644
--- a/runtime/torch_threshold_calibration.json
+++ b/runtime/torch_threshold_calibration.json
@@ -50,118 +50,128 @@
   },
   "recommended": {
     "edge": 0.1,
-    "probability": 0.52,
-    "confidence": 0.72,
-    "trades": 30,
-    "wins": 17,
-    "win_rate": 0.5666666666666667,
-    "total_net_percent": 12.82679871911413,
-    "average_net_percent": 0.42755995730380436,
-    "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
-    "profit_factor": 3.2963631842987433,
-    "score": 0.5882388552951857
+    "probability": 0.57,
+    "confidence": 0.4,
+    "trades": 38,
+    "wins": 20,
+    "win_rate": 0.5263157894736842,
+    "total_net_percent": 10.8553482857082,
+    "average_net_percent": 0.28566706015021576,
+    "max_drawdown_percent": 3.0444999196004408,
+    "profit_factor": 2.166318971301155,
+    "score": 0.3782149184267729
   },
   "full_replay": {
-    "trades": 8,
+    "trades": 9,
     "wins": 8,
-    "win_rate": 1.0,
-    "total_net_percent": 21.0484,
-    "avg_net_percent": 2.631,
-    "max_drawdown_percent": 0.0,
-    "profit_factor": 999.0,
+    "win_rate": 0.8889,
+    "total_net_percent": 18.8986,
+    "avg_net_percent": 2.0998,
+    "max_drawdown_percent": 0.2996,
+    "profit_factor": 64.0689,
     "trades_detail": [
       {
         "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
         "entry_timestamp": 1779832800000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1779868800000,
-        "net_percent": 0.5281,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1779861600000,
+        "net_percent": 0.2649,
         "reason": "forecast_weak_profit_lock",
-        "held_bars": 10,
-        "entry_probability": 0.5747,
-        "entry_expected_percent": 0.3453
+        "held_bars": 8,
+        "entry_probability": 0.5763,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.3499
       },
       {
         "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
-        "entry_timestamp": 1779940800000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1779984000000,
-        "net_percent": 1.3185,
+        "entry_timestamp": 1779930000000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1779987600000,
+        "net_percent": -0.2996,
+        "reason": "forecast_negative",
+        "held_bars": 16,
+        "entry_probability": 0.5855,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.1752
+      },
+      {
+        "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
+        "entry_timestamp": 1780297200000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1780340400000,
+        "net_percent": 1.163,
         "reason": "forecast_weak_profit_lock",
         "held_bars": 12,
-        "entry_probability": 0.6018,
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+        "entry_probability": 0.578,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.2182
       },
       {
         "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
-        "entry_timestamp": 1780300800000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1780347600000,
-        "net_percent": 0.2591,
+        "entry_timestamp": 1780776000000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1780794000000,
+        "net_percent": 1.8208,
         "reason": "forecast_weak_profit_lock",
-        "held_bars": 13,
-        "entry_probability": 0.6164,
-        "entry_expected_percent": 0.3215
+        "held_bars": 5,
+        "entry_probability": 0.5736,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.6405
       },
       {
         "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
-        "entry_timestamp": 1780768800000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1780855200000,
-        "net_percent": 4.4581,
+        "entry_timestamp": 1781136000000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1781197200000,
+        "net_percent": 3.4248,
+        "reason": "forecast_weak_profit_lock",
+        "held_bars": 17,
+        "entry_probability": 0.5767,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.282
+      },
+      {
+        "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
+        "entry_timestamp": 1781434800000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1781521200000,
+        "net_percent": 5.1663,
         "reason": "max_hold",
         "held_bars": 24,
-        "entry_probability": 0.5632,
-        "entry_expected_percent": 0.5685
+        "entry_probability": 0.5737,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.2332
       },
       {
         "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
-        "entry_timestamp": 1780862400000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1780869600000,
-        "net_percent": 2.4609,
+        "entry_timestamp": 1781524800000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1781535600000,
+        "net_percent": 3.5713,
         "reason": "forecast_weak_profit_lock",
-        "held_bars": 2,
-        "entry_probability": 0.5368,
-        "entry_expected_percent": 0.4055
+        "held_bars": 3,
+        "entry_probability": 0.689,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.4931
       },
       {
         "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
-        "entry_timestamp": 1781139600000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1781204400000,
-        "net_percent": 2.0707,
+        "entry_timestamp": 1781586000000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1781596800000,
+        "net_percent": 2.0739,
         "reason": "forecast_weak_profit_lock",
-        "held_bars": 18,
-        "entry_probability": 0.5775,
-        "entry_expected_percent": 0.3013
+        "held_bars": 3,
+        "entry_probability": 0.5721,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.1205
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       {
         "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
-        "entry_timestamp": 1781445600000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1781532000000,
-        "net_percent": 9.0305,
-        "reason": "max_hold",
-        "held_bars": 24,
-        "entry_probability": 0.6014,
-        "entry_expected_percent": 0.2946
-      },
-      {
-        "symbol": "ETHUSDT",
-        "entry_timestamp": 1781892000000,
-        "exit_timestamp": 1781942400000,
-        "net_percent": 0.9224,
+        "entry_timestamp": 1781863200000,
+        "exit_timestamp": 1781931600000,
+        "net_percent": 1.7132,
         "reason": "forecast_weak_profit_lock",
-        "held_bars": 14,
-        "entry_probability": 0.5966,
-        "entry_expected_percent": 0.2647
+        "held_bars": 19,
+        "entry_probability": 0.5705,
+        "entry_expected_percent": 0.1482
       }
     ]
   },
   "walk_forward": {
     "summary": {
-      "trades": 16,
+      "trades": 17,
       "wins": 8,
-      "win_rate": 0.5,
-      "total_net_percent": 6.8682,
-      "avg_net_percent": 0.4293,
-      "max_drawdown_percent": 1.3024,
-      "profit_factor": 3.1396,
-      "status": "warn"
+      "win_rate": 0.4706,
+      "total_net_percent": 10.3038,
+      "avg_net_percent": 0.6061,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 1.5511,
+      "profit_factor": 3.6814,
+      "status": "ok"
     },
     "folds": [
       {
@@ -171,24 +181,24 @@
         "thresholds": {
           "edge": 0.1,
           "probability": 0.6,
-          "confidence": 0.72,
-          "trades": 2,
-          "wins": 1,
+          "confidence": 0.4,
+          "trades": 6,
+          "wins": 3,
           "win_rate": 0.5,
-          "total_net_percent": -0.10348384852443271,
-          "average_net_percent": -0.051741924262216354,
-          "max_drawdown_percent": 0.5106090484004788,
-          "profit_factor": 0.7973325211360753,
-          "score": -0.0037694524148430344
+          "total_net_percent": -0.04776569264114405,
+          "average_net_percent": -0.00796094877352401,
+          "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
+          "profit_factor": 0.9736536609672094,
+          "score": -0.04306718362513842
         },
         "test": {
-          "trades": 4,
-          "wins": 2,
-          "win_rate": 0.5,
-          "total_net_percent": 0.0557,
-          "avg_net_percent": 0.0139,
-          "max_drawdown_percent": 1.3024,
-          "profit_factor": 1.0428
+          "trades": 0,
+          "wins": 0,
+          "win_rate": 0.0,
+          "total_net_percent": 0,
+          "avg_net_percent": 0.0,
+          "max_drawdown_percent": 0.0,
+          "profit_factor": 0.0
         }
       },
       {
@@ -197,25 +207,25 @@
         "test_records": 720,
         "thresholds": {
           "edge": 0.1,
-          "probability": 0.52,
-          "confidence": 0.72,
-          "trades": 18,
-          "wins": 11,
-          "win_rate": 0.6111111111111112,
-          "total_net_percent": 6.01434645293809,
-          "average_net_percent": 0.3341303584965606,
-          "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
-          "profit_factor": 2.6352078385564366,
-          "score": 0.3944002502730791
+          "probability": 0.57,
+          "confidence": 0.4,
+          "trades": 14,
+          "wins": 9,
+          "win_rate": 0.6428571428571429,
+          "total_net_percent": 0.4316747127586451,
+          "average_net_percent": 0.030833908054188935,
+          "max_drawdown_percent": 3.0444999196004408,
+          "profit_factor": 1.0927846710457836,
+          "score": -0.02831168312815889
         },
         "test": {
-          "trades": 11,
-          "wins": 6,
-          "win_rate": 0.5455,
-          "total_net_percent": 7.119,
-          "avg_net_percent": 0.6472,
-          "max_drawdown_percent": 1.0894,
-          "profit_factor": 5.4462
+          "trades": 17,
+          "wins": 8,
+          "win_rate": 0.4706,
+          "total_net_percent": 10.3038,
+          "avg_net_percent": 0.6061,
+          "max_drawdown_percent": 1.5511,
+          "profit_factor": 3.6814
         }
       },
       {
@@ -224,24 +234,24 @@
         "test_records": 720,
         "thresholds": {
           "edge": 0.1,
-          "probability": 0.52,
-          "confidence": 0.72,
-          "trades": 29,
-          "wins": 17,
-          "win_rate": 0.5862068965517241,
-          "total_net_percent": 13.13332018590817,
-          "average_net_percent": 0.4528731098589024,
-          "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
-          "profit_factor": 3.48775770371021,
-          "score": 0.6189314390475966
+          "probability": 0.62,
+          "confidence": 0.4,
+          "trades": 10,
+          "wins": 4,
+          "win_rate": 0.4,
+          "total_net_percent": 8.297644920429114,
+          "average_net_percent": 0.8297644920429115,
+          "max_drawdown_percent": 1.4887951136316468,
+          "profit_factor": 4.295314421439746,
+          "score": 0.9255653124403987
         },
         "test": {
-          "trades": 1,
+          "trades": 0,
           "wins": 0,
           "win_rate": 0.0,
-          "total_net_percent": -0.3065,
-          "avg_net_percent": -0.3065,
-          "max_drawdown_percent": 0.3065,
+          "total_net_percent": 0,
+          "avg_net_percent": 0.0,
+          "max_drawdown_percent": 0.0,
           "profit_factor": 0.0
         }
       }
@@ -253,63 +263,63 @@
       {
         "bucket": "0.30-0.35",
         "samples": 38,
-        "avg_probability": 0.336,
+        "avg_probability": 0.3361,
         "actual_win_rate": 0.1053,
         "avg_future_net_percent": -0.6575
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.35-0.40",
-        "samples": 418,
-        "avg_probability": 0.3839,
-        "actual_win_rate": 0.2225,
-        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.6359
+        "samples": 406,
+        "avg_probability": 0.3838,
+        "actual_win_rate": 0.2192,
+        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.641
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.40-0.45",
-        "samples": 1065,
-        "avg_probability": 0.427,
-        "actual_win_rate": 0.2873,
-        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.4036
+        "samples": 1043,
+        "avg_probability": 0.4276,
+        "actual_win_rate": 0.2809,
+        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.4529
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.45-0.50",
-        "samples": 911,
-        "avg_probability": 0.4746,
-        "actual_win_rate": 0.3271,
-        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.3061
+        "samples": 918,
+        "avg_probability": 0.4744,
+        "actual_win_rate": 0.3301,
+        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.3166
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.50-0.55",
-        "samples": 290,
-        "avg_probability": 0.5188,
-        "actual_win_rate": 0.3966,
-        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.0583
+        "samples": 312,
+        "avg_probability": 0.5195,
+        "actual_win_rate": 0.3846,
+        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.1107
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.55-0.60",
-        "samples": 104,
-        "avg_probability": 0.5758,
-        "actual_win_rate": 0.4327,
-        "avg_future_net_percent": 0.0173
+        "samples": 108,
+        "avg_probability": 0.5753,
+        "actual_win_rate": 0.4259,
+        "avg_future_net_percent": 0.0115
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.60-0.65",
         "samples": 42,
-        "avg_probability": 0.6138,
+        "avg_probability": 0.6136,
         "actual_win_rate": 0.4762,
-        "avg_future_net_percent": -0.0041
+        "avg_future_net_percent": 0.0003
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.65-0.70",
-        "samples": 6,
-        "avg_probability": 0.6679,
-        "actual_win_rate": 0.3333,
-        "avg_future_net_percent": 0.6587
+        "samples": 7,
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+        "actual_win_rate": 0.2857,
+        "avg_future_net_percent": 0.538
       },
       {
         "bucket": "0.70-0.75",
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+        "avg_probability": 0.7106,
         "actual_win_rate": 0.8333,
         "avg_future_net_percent": 2.1268
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@@ -318,198 +328,393 @@
   "top_results": [
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+      "wins": 4,
+      "win_rate": 0.4,
+      "total_net_percent": 8.297644920429114,
+      "average_net_percent": 0.8297644920429115,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 1.4887951136316468,
+      "profit_factor": 4.295314421439746,
+      "score": 0.7872712304332469
     },
     {
       "edge": 0.1,
-      "probability": 0.52,
-      "confidence": 0.6,
-      "trades": 59,
-      "wins": 28,
-      "win_rate": 0.4745762711864407,
-      "total_net_percent": 16.704033568694644,
-      "average_net_percent": 0.2831192130287228,
-      "max_drawdown_percent": 3.9030543543860263,
-      "profit_factor": 2.053895519143829,
-      "score": 0.4355711367750193
-    },
-    {
-      "edge": 0.1,
-      "probability": 0.54,
-      "confidence": 0.72,
-      "trades": 29,
-      "wins": 16,
-      "win_rate": 0.5517241379310345,
-      "total_net_percent": 9.266858120167019,
-      "average_net_percent": 0.3195468317298972,
-      "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
-      "profit_factor": 2.659032178431275,
-      "score": 0.41557735852998334
-    },
-    {
-      "edge": 0.1,
-      "probability": 0.55,
-      "confidence": 0.72,
-      "trades": 25,
-      "wins": 14,
-      "win_rate": 0.56,
-      "total_net_percent": 9.16979950649479,
-      "average_net_percent": 0.3667919802597916,
-      "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
-      "profit_factor": 3.155095090386423,
-      "score": 0.41121722668525085
+      "probability": 0.68,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 3,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.378880906676532,
+      "average_net_percent": 2.1262936355588438,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.33852124402657946,
+      "profit_factor": 19.84336956464595,
+      "score": 0.6437676518357281
     },
     {
       "edge": 0.08,
-      "probability": 0.5,
-      "confidence": 0.64,
-      "trades": 57,
-      "wins": 28,
-      "win_rate": 0.49122807017543857,
-      "total_net_percent": 15.383105036720245,
-      "average_net_percent": 0.2698790357319341,
-      "max_drawdown_percent": 3.6509791332801522,
-      "profit_factor": 1.8889561886320847,
-      "score": 0.4107453600913507
+      "probability": 0.68,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 3,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.378880906676532,
+      "average_net_percent": 2.1262936355588438,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.33852124402657946,
+      "profit_factor": 19.84336956464595,
+      "score": 0.6437676518357281
     },
     {
       "edge": 0.06,
-      "probability": 0.5,
-      "confidence": 0.68,
-      "trades": 57,
-      "wins": 28,
-      "win_rate": 0.49122807017543857,
-      "total_net_percent": 15.383105036720245,
-      "average_net_percent": 0.2698790357319341,
-      "max_drawdown_percent": 3.6509791332801522,
-      "profit_factor": 1.8889561886320847,
-      "score": 0.4107453600913507
+      "probability": 0.68,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 3,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.378880906676532,
+      "average_net_percent": 2.1262936355588438,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.33852124402657946,
+      "profit_factor": 19.84336956464595,
+      "score": 0.6437676518357281
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.05,
+      "probability": 0.68,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 3,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.378880906676532,
+      "average_net_percent": 2.1262936355588438,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.33852124402657946,
+      "profit_factor": 19.84336956464595,
+      "score": 0.6437676518357281
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.04,
+      "probability": 0.68,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 3,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.378880906676532,
+      "average_net_percent": 2.1262936355588438,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.33852124402657946,
+      "profit_factor": 19.84336956464595,
+      "score": 0.6437676518357281
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.02,
+      "probability": 0.68,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 3,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.378880906676532,
+      "average_net_percent": 2.1262936355588438,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.33852124402657946,
+      "profit_factor": 19.84336956464595,
+      "score": 0.6437676518357281
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.0,
+      "probability": 0.68,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 3,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.378880906676532,
+      "average_net_percent": 2.1262936355588438,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.33852124402657946,
+      "profit_factor": 19.84336956464595,
+      "score": 0.6437676518357281
     },
     {
       "edge": 0.1,
-      "probability": 0.55,
-      "confidence": 0.68,
-      "trades": 32,
-      "wins": 16,
+      "probability": 0.66,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 4,
+      "wins": 2,
       "win_rate": 0.5,
-      "total_net_percent": 9.83610967545454,
-      "average_net_percent": 0.3073784273579544,
-      "max_drawdown_percent": 2.2311766078638495,
-      "profit_factor": 2.5019571623752666,
-      "score": 0.40798477425385704
+      "total_net_percent": 6.065901369307769,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.5164753423269421,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.6515007813953422,
+      "profit_factor": 10.31065862471602,
+      "score": 0.5969352778734036
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.08,
+      "probability": 0.66,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 4,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.5,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.065901369307769,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.5164753423269421,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.6515007813953422,
+      "profit_factor": 10.31065862471602,
+      "score": 0.5969352778734036
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.06,
+      "probability": 0.66,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 4,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.5,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.065901369307769,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.5164753423269421,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.6515007813953422,
+      "profit_factor": 10.31065862471602,
+      "score": 0.5969352778734036
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.05,
+      "probability": 0.66,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 4,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.5,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.065901369307769,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.5164753423269421,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.6515007813953422,
+      "profit_factor": 10.31065862471602,
+      "score": 0.5969352778734036
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.04,
+      "probability": 0.66,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 4,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.5,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.065901369307769,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.5164753423269421,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.6515007813953422,
+      "profit_factor": 10.31065862471602,
+      "score": 0.5969352778734036
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.02,
+      "probability": 0.66,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 4,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.5,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.065901369307769,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.5164753423269421,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.6515007813953422,
+      "profit_factor": 10.31065862471602,
+      "score": 0.5969352778734036
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.0,
+      "probability": 0.66,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 4,
+      "wins": 2,
+      "win_rate": 0.5,
+      "total_net_percent": 6.065901369307769,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.5164753423269421,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.6515007813953422,
+      "profit_factor": 10.31065862471602,
+      "score": 0.5969352778734036
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.1,
+      "probability": 0.64,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 5,
+      "wins": 3,
+      "win_rate": 0.6,
+      "total_net_percent": 5.9312659261036345,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.186253185220727,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.48325866434849596,
+      "profit_factor": 13.27348077473139,
+      "score": 0.5927433894697359
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.08,
+      "probability": 0.64,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 5,
+      "wins": 3,
+      "win_rate": 0.6,
+      "total_net_percent": 5.9312659261036345,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.186253185220727,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.48325866434849596,
+      "profit_factor": 13.27348077473139,
+      "score": 0.5927433894697359
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.06,
+      "probability": 0.64,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 5,
+      "wins": 3,
+      "win_rate": 0.6,
+      "total_net_percent": 5.9312659261036345,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.186253185220727,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.48325866434849596,
+      "profit_factor": 13.27348077473139,
+      "score": 0.5927433894697359
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.05,
+      "probability": 0.64,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 5,
+      "wins": 3,
+      "win_rate": 0.6,
+      "total_net_percent": 5.9312659261036345,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.186253185220727,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.48325866434849596,
+      "profit_factor": 13.27348077473139,
+      "score": 0.5927433894697359
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.04,
+      "probability": 0.64,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 5,
+      "wins": 3,
+      "win_rate": 0.6,
+      "total_net_percent": 5.9312659261036345,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.186253185220727,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.48325866434849596,
+      "profit_factor": 13.27348077473139,
+      "score": 0.5927433894697359
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.02,
+      "probability": 0.64,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 5,
+      "wins": 3,
+      "win_rate": 0.6,
+      "total_net_percent": 5.9312659261036345,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.186253185220727,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.48325866434849596,
+      "profit_factor": 13.27348077473139,
+      "score": 0.5927433894697359
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.0,
+      "probability": 0.64,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 5,
+      "wins": 3,
+      "win_rate": 0.6,
+      "total_net_percent": 5.9312659261036345,
+      "average_net_percent": 1.186253185220727,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 0.48325866434849596,
+      "profit_factor": 13.27348077473139,
+      "score": 0.5927433894697359
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.1,
+      "probability": 0.6,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 16,
+      "wins": 9,
+      "win_rate": 0.5625,
+      "total_net_percent": 7.917141995065846,
+      "average_net_percent": 0.49482137469161536,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
+      "profit_factor": 3.629214989861449,
+      "score": 0.5816887551556057
+    },
+    {
+      "edge": 0.08,
+      "probability": 0.6,
+      "confidence": 0.4,
+      "trades": 16,
+      "wins": 9,
+      "win_rate": 0.5625,
+      "total_net_percent": 7.917141995065846,
+      "average_net_percent": 0.49482137469161536,
+      "max_drawdown_percent": 1.812991648733242,
+      "profit_factor": 3.629214989861449,
+      "score": 0.5816887551556057
     }
   ]
 }
diff --git a/tools/calibrate_torch_thresholds.py b/tools/calibrate_torch_thresholds.py
index 55b5a28..7f29c35 100644
--- a/tools/calibrate_torch_thresholds.py
+++ b/tools/calibrate_torch_thresholds.py
@@ -138,10 +138,17 @@ def main() -> None:
     for result in results[: min(args.top, len(results))]:
         print(_result_line(result))
 
-    recommended = _choose_recommendation(results, min_trades=args.min_trades)
+    recommended, full_backtest = _choose_replay_recommendation(
+        results,
+        records,
+        min_trades=args.min_trades,
+        min_full_replay_trades=args.min_full_replay_trades,
+        horizon=horizon,
+        round_trip_cost=round_trip_cost,
+        settings=settings,
+    )
     print("\nRECOMMENDED")
     print(_result_line(recommended))
-    full_backtest = _full_backtest(records, recommended, horizon=horizon, round_trip_cost=round_trip_cost, settings=settings)
     print("\nFULL_REPLAY")
     print(_stats_line(full_backtest))
     walk_forward = _walk_forward(
@@ -186,9 +193,10 @@ def _parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
     parser.add_argument("--calibration-window", type=int, default=720, help="Tail records used for calibration.")
     parser.add_argument("--horizon", type=int, default=0, help="Forecast horizon to calibrate.")
     parser.add_argument("--min-trades", type=int, default=12, help="Minimum non-overlapping trades for recommendation.")
+    parser.add_argument("--min-full-replay-trades", type=int, default=8, help="Prefer recommendations with at least this many full replay trades.")
     parser.add_argument("--edge-grid", default="0.00,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.10", help="Percent edge thresholds.")
     parser.add_argument("--probability-grid", default="0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.60,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.70", help="P(up) thresholds.")
-    parser.add_argument("--confidence-grid", default="0.50,0.56,0.60,0.64,0.68,0.72", help="Confidence thresholds.")
+    parser.add_argument("--confidence-grid", default="0.40,0.50,0.56,0.60,0.64,0.68,0.72", help="Confidence thresholds.")
     parser.add_argument("--top", type=int, default=15, help="How many top results to print and save.")
     parser.add_argument("--output", default="", help="Optional JSON output path.")
     parser.add_argument("--batch-size", type=int, default=256, help="Torch inference batch size.")
@@ -799,6 +807,51 @@ def _choose_recommendation(results: list[CalibrationResult], *, min_trades: int)
     return viable[0] if viable else results[0]
 
 
+def _choose_replay_recommendation(
+    results: list[CalibrationResult],
+    records: list[ForecastRecord],
+    *,
+    min_trades: int,
+    min_full_replay_trades: int,
+    horizon: int,
+    round_trip_cost: float,
+    settings: Any,
+) -> tuple[CalibrationResult, dict[str, Any]]:
+    fallback = _choose_recommendation(results, min_trades=min_trades)
+    fallback_replay = _full_backtest(records, fallback, horizon=horizon, round_trip_cost=round_trip_cost, settings=settings)
+    if min_full_replay_trades <= 0:
+        return fallback, fallback_replay
+
+    viable: list[tuple[CalibrationResult, dict[str, Any]]] = []
+    for result in results:
+        if result.trades < min(4, min_trades):
+            continue
+        if result.average_net_percent <= 0 or result.total_net_percent <= 0 or result.profit_factor < 1.05:
+            continue
+        replay = _full_backtest(records, result, horizon=horizon, round_trip_cost=round_trip_cost, settings=settings)
+        if int(replay.get("trades", 0) or 0) < min_full_replay_trades:
+            continue
+        if float(replay.get("avg_net_percent", 0.0) or 0.0) <= 0:
+            continue
+        if float(replay.get("profit_factor", 0.0) or 0.0) < 1.05:
+            continue
+        viable.append((result, replay))
+
+    if not viable:
+        return fallback, fallback_replay
+    viable.sort(
+        key=lambda item: (
+            item[0].score,
+            float(item[1].get("avg_net_percent", 0.0) or 0.0),
+            float(item[1].get("total_net_percent", 0.0) or 0.0),
+            int(item[1].get("trades", 0) or 0),
+            item[0].confidence,
+        ),
+        reverse=True,
+    )
+    return viable[0]
+
+
 def _forecast_confidence(expected_return: float, probability_up: float, skill: float, min_edge: float) -> float:
     expected_return = max(0.0, expected_return)
     skill = max(0.0, skill)
diff --git a/tools/run_retrain_until_replay8.ps1 b/tools/run_retrain_until_replay8.ps1
index 778d778..39a2821 100644
--- a/tools/run_retrain_until_replay8.ps1
+++ b/tools/run_retrain_until_replay8.ps1
@@ -18,6 +18,7 @@ $RepoRoot = (Resolve-Path (Join-Path $PSScriptRoot "..")).Path
 $RuntimeDir = Join-Path $RepoRoot "runtime"
 $LoopLog = Join-Path $RuntimeDir "torch_retrain_until_replay8.log"
 $GuardReport = Join-Path $RuntimeDir "torch_retrain_guard.json"
+$ActiveCalibration = Join-Path $RuntimeDir "torch_threshold_calibration.json"
 $Runner = Join-Path $RepoRoot "tools\run_torch_retrain.ps1"
 New-Item -ItemType Directory -Force -Path $RuntimeDir | Out-Null
 
@@ -45,7 +46,8 @@ function Read-GuardSummary {
         return [pscustomobject]@{
             Accepted = $false
             Reason = "guard_report_missing"
-            ReplayTrades = 0
+            CandidateReplayTrades = 0
+            CurrentReplayTrades = 0
             WalkForwardTrades = 0
         }
     }
@@ -54,7 +56,8 @@ function Read-GuardSummary {
         return [pscustomobject]@{
             Accepted = [bool]$payload.accepted
             Reason = [string]$payload.reason
-            ReplayTrades = ConvertTo-IntOrZero $payload.candidate.full_replay.trades
+            CandidateReplayTrades = ConvertTo-IntOrZero $payload.candidate.full_replay.trades
+            CurrentReplayTrades = ConvertTo-IntOrZero $payload.current.full_replay.trades
             WalkForwardTrades = ConvertTo-IntOrZero $payload.candidate.walk_forward_summary.trades
         }
     }
@@ -62,14 +65,34 @@ function Read-GuardSummary {
         return [pscustomobject]@{
             Accepted = $false
             Reason = "guard_report_unreadable"
-            ReplayTrades = 0
+            CandidateReplayTrades = 0
+            CurrentReplayTrades = 0
             WalkForwardTrades = 0
         }
     }
 }
 
+function Read-ActiveReplayTrades {
+    if (-not (Test-Path $ActiveCalibration)) {
+        return 0
+    }
+    try {
+        $payload = Get-Content -Raw -LiteralPath $ActiveCalibration | ConvertFrom-Json
+        return ConvertTo-IntOrZero $payload.full_replay.trades
+    }
+    catch {
+        return 0
+    }
+}
+
 $attempt = 0
 while ($true) {
+    $activeReplayTrades = Read-ActiveReplayTrades
+    if ($activeReplayTrades -ge $MinReplayTrades) {
+        Write-LoopLog "Stop condition reached: active calibration full_replay.trades=$activeReplayTrades >= $MinReplayTrades."
+        exit 0
+    }
+
     $attempt += 1
     if ($SeedStart -gt 0) {
         $attemptSeed = $SeedStart + $attempt - 1
@@ -98,10 +121,14 @@ while ($true) {
     & powershell.exe @runnerArgs 2>&1 | Tee-Object -FilePath $LoopLog -Append
     $runnerExit = $LASTEXITCODE
     $summary = Read-GuardSummary
-    Write-LoopLog "Attempt $attempt finished; runner_exit=$runnerExit accepted=$($summary.Accepted) reason=$($summary.Reason) full_replay.trades=$($summary.ReplayTrades) walk_forward.trades=$($summary.WalkForwardTrades)."
+    Write-LoopLog "Attempt $attempt finished; runner_exit=$runnerExit accepted=$($summary.Accepted) reason=$($summary.Reason) candidate_full_replay.trades=$($summary.CandidateReplayTrades) current_full_replay.trades=$($summary.CurrentReplayTrades) walk_forward.trades=$($summary.WalkForwardTrades)."
 
-    if ($summary.ReplayTrades -ge $MinReplayTrades) {
-        Write-LoopLog "Stop condition reached: full_replay.trades=$($summary.ReplayTrades) >= $MinReplayTrades."
+    if ($summary.Accepted -and $summary.CandidateReplayTrades -ge $MinReplayTrades) {
+        Write-LoopLog "Stop condition reached: accepted candidate full_replay.trades=$($summary.CandidateReplayTrades) >= $MinReplayTrades."
+        exit 0
+    }
+    if ($summary.CurrentReplayTrades -ge $MinReplayTrades) {
+        Write-LoopLog "Stop condition reached: current artifact full_replay.trades=$($summary.CurrentReplayTrades) >= $MinReplayTrades."
         exit 0
     }