Files
TradeBot/tests/test_strategy.py

1546 lines
48 KiB
Python

from __future__ import annotations
from datetime import timedelta
from crypto_spot_bot.models import Candle, Position, Ticker, utc_now
from crypto_spot_bot.patterns import PatternAnalyzer
from crypto_spot_bot.strategy import SpotStrategy
def _ready_candles() -> list[Candle]:
candles = []
for index in range(205):
candle = Candle(
timestamp=index,
open=100,
high=103,
low=99,
close=101,
volume=100,
ema_20=100,
ema_50=99,
ema_200=98,
rsi_14=45,
atr_14=1.2,
volume_ma_20=90,
)
candles.append(candle)
return candles
def _rebound_candles() -> list[Candle]:
candles = []
tail = [98.0, 97.3, 96.6, 95.9, 95.2, 94.8, 94.55, 94.42, 94.38, 94.40, 94.45, 94.56]
for index in range(205):
close = 104 - index * 0.025
if index >= 193:
close = tail[index - 193]
rsi = 45
if index >= 193:
rsi = min(42, 29 + max(0, index - 198))
candles.append(
Candle(
timestamp=index,
open=close - 0.12,
high=close + 0.25,
low=close - 0.26,
close=close,
volume=120,
ema_20=close + 0.35,
ema_50=close + 0.75,
ema_200=close + 1.4,
rsi_14=rsi,
atr_14=0.45,
volume_ma_20=100,
)
)
candles[-1].open = candles[-1].close - 0.20
candles[-1].low = candles[-1].close - 0.26
return candles
def _trend_entry_candles(
*,
macd_cross_up: bool = True,
close: float = 105.0,
ema50: float = 100.0,
rsi: float = 55.0,
) -> list[Candle]:
candles = []
for index in range(80):
candles.append(
Candle(
timestamp=index,
open=close - 0.4,
high=close + 0.8,
low=close - 0.8,
close=close,
volume=100,
ema_20=close - 1.0,
ema_50=ema50,
ema_200=ema50 - 4.0,
rsi_14=rsi,
atr_14=1.0,
macd=-0.1,
macd_signal=0.0,
macd_hist=-0.1,
volume_ma_20=90,
)
)
candles[-1].macd = 0.15 if macd_cross_up else -0.05
candles[-1].macd_signal = 0.0
candles[-1].macd_hist = candles[-1].macd - candles[-1].macd_signal
return candles
def _daily_trend_candles(*, uptrend: bool = True) -> list[Candle]:
close = 110.0 if uptrend else 95.0
ema50 = 105.0 if uptrend else 98.0
ema200 = 100.0
return [
Candle(
timestamp=index,
open=close - 1.0,
high=close + 1.0,
low=close - 2.0,
close=close,
volume=1000,
ema_20=ema50,
ema_50=ema50,
ema_200=ema200,
rsi_14=55,
atr_14=4.0,
macd=1.0,
macd_signal=0.8,
macd_hist=0.2,
volume_ma_20=900,
)
for index in range(205)
]
def test_trend_macd_buys_only_when_rules_pass(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="trend_macd",
max_position_usdt=50,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
risk_per_trade_percent=0.01,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
_trend_entry_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
account={"equity": 100.0},
trend_candles=_daily_trend_candles(),
)
assert signal.action == "BUY"
assert signal.diagnostics["strategy_mode"] == "trend_macd"
assert signal.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] == 25.0
assert signal.diagnostics["position_sizing"]["risk_per_trade_percent"] == 1.0
def test_trend_macd_blocks_when_daily_trend_filter_fails(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="trend_macd")
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("ETHUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"ETHUSDT",
_trend_entry_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
account={"equity": 100.0},
trend_candles=_daily_trend_candles(uptrend=False),
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["daily_trend_ok"] is False
def test_trend_macd_blocks_second_position_for_symbol(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="trend_macd")
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("SOLUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"SOLUSDT",
_trend_entry_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=1,
account={"equity": 100.0},
trend_candles=_daily_trend_candles(),
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert "позиция" in signal.reason
def test_trend_macd_exits_on_macd_cross_down(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="trend_macd")
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles()
candles[-2].macd = 0.2
candles[-2].macd_signal = 0.0
candles[-1].macd = -0.1
candles[-1].macd_signal = 0.0
position = Position(1, "BTCUSDT", 1, 100, 100, 0.1, 96, 120, 100)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 104, 103.99, 104.01, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(position, candles, ticker)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "MACD" in signal.reason
def test_trend_macd_exits_on_close_below_ema50(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="trend_macd")
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles(close=99.0, ema50=100.0, macd_cross_up=False)
candles[-2].macd = 0.1
candles[-2].macd_signal = 0.0
candles[-1].macd = 0.05
candles[-1].macd_signal = 0.0
position = Position(1, "BTCUSDT", 1, 100, 100, 0.1, 96, 120, 100)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 99, 98.99, 99.01, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(position, candles, ticker)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "EMA50" in signal.reason
def test_trend_macd_exits_on_atr_trailing_stop(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="trend_macd", atr_trailing_multiplier=2.2)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles(close=108.0, ema50=100.0, macd_cross_up=False)
candles[-2].macd = 0.1
candles[-2].macd_signal = 0.0
candles[-1].macd = 0.05
candles[-1].macd_signal = 0.0
candles[-1].atr_14 = 1.0
position = Position(1, "BTCUSDT", 1, 100, 100, 0.1, 96, 120, 110)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 107.7, 107.69, 107.71, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(position, candles, ticker)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "ATR trailing" in signal.reason
def test_trend_macd_holds_below_stop_when_stop_loss_exit_disabled(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="trend_macd",
stop_loss_exit_enabled=False,
atr_trailing_multiplier=2.2,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles(close=99.0, ema50=95.0, macd_cross_up=False)
candles[-2].macd = 0.1
candles[-2].macd_signal = 0.0
candles[-1].macd = 0.1
candles[-1].macd_signal = 0.0
candles[-1].atr_14 = 1.0
position = Position(1, "BTCUSDT", 1, 100, 100, 0.1, 96, 120, 100.5)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 95.5, 95.49, 95.51, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(position, candles, ticker)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["stop_loss"] is None
assert signal.diagnostics["stop_loss_exit_enabled"] is False
def test_torch_atr_trailing_without_stop_loss_waits_for_profit_stop(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
stop_loss_exit_enabled=False,
atr_trailing_multiplier=2.2,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles(close=99.0, ema50=95.0, macd_cross_up=False)
candles[-1].atr_14 = 1.0
position = Position(1, "BTCUSDT", 1, 100, 100, 0.1, 96, 120, 101.0)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 98.7, 98.69, 98.71, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
candles,
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": 0.4,
"probability_up": 0.62,
"skill": 0.18,
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["atr_trailing_stop"] is None
def test_torch_atr_trailing_without_stop_loss_can_lock_profit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
stop_loss_exit_enabled=False,
atr_trailing_multiplier=2.2,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles(close=104.0, ema50=95.0, macd_cross_up=False)
candles[-1].atr_14 = 1.0
position = Position(1, "BTCUSDT", 1, 100, 100, 0.1, 96, 120, 104.0)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 101.7, 101.69, 101.71, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
candles,
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": 0.4,
"probability_up": 0.62,
"skill": 0.18,
},
)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "ATR trailing" in signal.reason
def test_torch_forecast_buys_only_from_positive_torch_edge(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
max_position_usdt=25,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
risk_per_trade_percent=0.01,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": 0.36,
"probability_up": 0.66,
"skill": 0.22,
"block_entry": False,
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "BUY"
assert signal.diagnostics["strategy_mode"] == "torch_forecast"
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["torch_model_ok"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["position_sizing"]["method"] == "torch_forecast_fractional_kelly"
assert settings.min_position_usdt <= signal.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] <= settings.max_position_usdt
def test_torch_forecast_blocks_without_valid_torch_model(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast")
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("ETHUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"ETHUSDT",
_trend_entry_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast={"usable": True, "model": "none", "expected_return_percent": 0.5, "probability_up": 0.7},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["torch_model_ok"] is False
def test_torch_forecast_allows_additional_entries_until_symbol_limit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
min_position_usdt=1,
max_symbol_exposure_usdt=3,
max_positions_per_symbol=3,
max_position_usdt=25,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
risk_per_trade_percent=0.01,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
forecast = {
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": 0.36,
"probability_up": 0.66,
"skill": 0.22,
"block_entry": False,
}
additional = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=1,
forecast=forecast,
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
capped = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=3,
forecast=forecast,
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert additional.action == "BUY"
assert capped.action == "HOLD"
assert "symbol position limit" in capped.reason
def test_torch_forecast_kelly_buys_only_remaining_symbol_allocation(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
min_position_usdt=1,
max_position_usdt=8,
max_symbol_exposure_usdt=25,
max_positions_per_symbol=6,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
take_profit_percent=0.035,
kelly_sizing_enabled=True,
kelly_fraction=0.25,
kelly_max_fraction=0.20,
time_series_min_edge_percent=0.10,
time_series_min_probability_up=0.47,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
forecast = {
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": 0.60,
"probability_up": 0.84,
"skill": 0.22,
"block_entry": False,
}
first = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast=forecast,
account={"equity": 100.0, "symbol": "BTCUSDT", "symbol_exposure_usdt": 0.0},
)
second = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=1,
forecast=forecast,
account={"equity": 100.0, "symbol": "BTCUSDT", "symbol_exposure_usdt": 8.0},
)
filled = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=2,
forecast=forecast,
account={"equity": 100.0, "symbol": "BTCUSDT", "symbol_exposure_usdt": 20.0},
)
first_sizing = first.diagnostics["position_sizing"]
second_sizing = second.diagnostics["position_sizing"]
assert first.action == "BUY"
assert first_sizing["method"] == "torch_forecast_fractional_kelly"
assert first_sizing["kelly_target_notional_usdt"] > settings.max_position_usdt
assert first.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] == settings.max_position_usdt
assert second.action == "BUY"
assert 1 <= second.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] < settings.max_position_usdt
assert second_sizing["kelly_open_symbol_exposure_usdt"] == 8.0
assert filled.action == "HOLD"
assert filled.diagnostics["checks"]["risk_size_ok"] is False
def test_torch_forecast_kelly_allows_next_exchange_minimum_layer(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
min_position_usdt=1,
max_position_usdt=8,
max_symbol_exposure_usdt=25,
max_total_exposure_usdt=75,
max_positions_per_symbol=6,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
take_profit_percent=0.035,
kelly_sizing_enabled=True,
kelly_fraction=0.25,
kelly_max_fraction=0.20,
time_series_min_edge_percent=0.10,
time_series_min_probability_up=0.47,
time_series_min_confidence=0.4,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("HYPEUSDT", 63.14, 63.13, 63.15, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"HYPEUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=1,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": 0.2115,
"probability_up": 0.5163,
"skill": 0.0156,
"block_entry": False,
},
account={
"equity": 98.6,
"cash": 88.54,
"exposure": 10.07,
"symbol": "HYPEUSDT",
"symbol_exposure_usdt": 5.05,
"open_positions_for_symbol": 1,
"exchange_min_entry_usdt": 5.07,
},
)
sizing = signal.diagnostics["position_sizing"]
assert signal.action == "BUY"
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["risk_size_ok"] is True
assert sizing["kelly_target_notional_usdt"] < sizing["kelly_open_symbol_exposure_usdt"]
assert sizing["kelly_raw_remaining_notional_usdt"] == 0.0
assert sizing["kelly_layer_mode"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] == 5.07
def test_torch_forecast_blocks_failed_quality_gate(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
time_series_min_edge_percent=0.10,
time_series_min_probability_up=0.57,
max_position_usdt=25,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 105, 104.99, 105.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": 0.36,
"probability_up": 0.66,
"skill": 0.22,
"block_entry": False,
"quality_gate_passed": False,
"quality_gate": {"status": "fail"},
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["quality_gate_ok"] is False
def test_torch_forecast_probe_blocks_when_kelly_size_is_too_small(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
time_series_min_edge_percent=0.10,
time_series_min_probability_up=0.52,
time_series_probe_enabled=True,
time_series_probe_min_edge_percent=0.02,
time_series_probe_min_probability_up=0.55,
time_series_probe_size_multiplier=0.40,
max_position_usdt=25,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
risk_per_trade_percent=0.01,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("SOLUSDT", 65, 64.99, 65.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"SOLUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": 0.04,
"probability_up": 0.57,
"skill": 0.05,
"block_entry": False,
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["edge_mode"] == "probe"
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["expected_edge_ok"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["risk_size_ok"] is False
assert signal.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] == 0.0
def test_torch_forecast_probe_blocks_negative_expected_return(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
time_series_min_edge_percent=0.10,
time_series_min_probability_up=0.52,
time_series_probe_enabled=True,
time_series_probe_min_edge_percent=0.02,
time_series_probe_min_probability_up=0.55,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 59_000, 58_999, 59_001, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
[],
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": -0.03,
"probability_up": 0.60,
"skill": 0.16,
"block_entry": False,
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["edge_mode"] == "blocked"
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["expected_edge_ok"] is False
def test_torch_forecast_rebound_overlay_blocks_when_kelly_size_is_too_small(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
rebound_trading_enabled=True,
rebound_entry_confidence=0.55,
rebound_min_probability=0.55,
rebound_max_position_usdt=6.0,
time_series_min_edge_percent=0.10,
time_series_probe_min_probability_up=0.55,
max_position_usdt=25,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
risk_per_trade_percent=0.01,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _rebound_candles()
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=candles[-1].close,
bid=candles[-1].close * 0.9999,
ask=candles[-1].close * 1.0001,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=-2.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
candles,
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={"label": "нисходящий тренд", "score": 0.28},
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": 0.01,
"probability_up": 0.56,
"skill": 0.05,
"block_entry": False,
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["rebound"]["active"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["model_rebound_entry_ok"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["rebound_entry_sized_ok"] is False
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["expected_edge_ok"] is False
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["risk_size_ok"] is False
def test_torch_forecast_rebound_overlay_does_not_buy_negative_forecast(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
rebound_trading_enabled=True,
rebound_entry_confidence=0.55,
rebound_min_probability=0.55,
time_series_min_edge_percent=0.10,
time_series_probe_min_probability_up=0.55,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _rebound_candles()
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=candles[-1].close,
bid=candles[-1].close * 0.9999,
ask=candles[-1].close * 1.0001,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=-2.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
candles,
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={"label": "нисходящий тренд", "score": 0.28},
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_gru",
"expected_return_percent": -0.01,
"probability_up": 0.56,
"skill": 0.05,
"block_entry": False,
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["rebound"]["active"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["rebound_entry_ok"] is False
assert signal.diagnostics["edge_mode"] == "blocked"
def test_torch_forecast_rebound_fallback_blocks_when_kelly_size_is_too_small(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
rebound_trading_enabled=True,
rebound_entry_confidence=0.55,
rebound_min_probability=0.55,
rebound_max_position_usdt=6.0,
time_series_rebound_fallback_enabled=True,
stop_loss_percent=0.04,
risk_per_trade_percent=0.01,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _rebound_candles()
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="HYPEUSDT",
last_price=candles[-1].close,
bid=candles[-1].close * 0.9999,
ask=candles[-1].close * 1.0001,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=-2.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"HYPEUSDT",
candles,
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={"label": "нисходящий тренд", "score": 0.28},
forecast={
"usable": False,
"model": "none",
"reason": "no valid PyTorch LSTM/GRU model for symbol",
"block_entry": False,
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["fallback_rebound_entry_ok"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["rebound_entry_sized_ok"] is False
assert signal.diagnostics["missing_torch_model"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["checks"]["risk_size_ok"] is False
def test_torch_forecast_rebound_fallback_can_be_disabled(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
strategy_mode="torch_forecast",
rebound_trading_enabled=True,
rebound_entry_confidence=0.55,
rebound_min_probability=0.55,
time_series_rebound_fallback_enabled=False,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _rebound_candles()
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="HYPEUSDT",
last_price=candles[-1].close,
bid=candles[-1].close * 0.9999,
ask=candles[-1].close * 1.0001,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=-2.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"HYPEUSDT",
candles,
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={"label": "нисходящий тренд", "score": 0.28},
forecast={
"usable": False,
"model": "none",
"reason": "no valid PyTorch LSTM/GRU model for symbol",
"block_entry": False,
},
account={"equity": 100.0},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["missing_torch_model"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["fallback_rebound_entry_ok"] is False
def test_torch_forecast_exits_when_forecast_turns_negative(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast", stop_loss_percent=0.04)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
1,
"SOLUSDT",
1,
100,
100,
0.1,
96,
120,
103,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("SOLUSDT", 101, 100.99, 101.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_trend_entry_candles(),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": -0.08,
"probability_up": 0.43,
"skill": 0.18,
"block_entry": True,
},
)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "прогноз" in signal.reason
def test_torch_forecast_holds_negative_forecast_during_min_hold(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast", min_hold_seconds=180)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(1, "SOLUSDT", 1, 100, 100, 0.1, 96, 120, 103)
ticker = Ticker("SOLUSDT", 101, 100.99, 101.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_trend_entry_candles(),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": -0.08,
"probability_up": 0.43,
"skill": 0.18,
"block_entry": True,
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["forecast_exit_blocked_by_min_hold"] is True
def test_torch_forecast_holds_fee_churn_exit_after_min_hold(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast", min_hold_seconds=60)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
1,
"BTCUSDT",
1,
100,
100,
0.1,
96,
120,
100.1,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 99.99, 99.98, 100.0, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_trend_entry_candles(),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": -0.01,
"probability_up": 0.499,
"skill": 0.18,
"block_entry": False,
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["forecast_exit_blocked_by_cost"] is True
def test_torch_forecast_holds_atr_trailing_exit_that_does_not_cover_fees(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast", min_hold_seconds=60)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles(close=100.2)
candles[-1].atr_14 = 0.8
position = Position(
1,
"MNTUSDT",
1,
100,
100,
0.1,
96,
120,
102,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("MNTUSDT", 100.2, 100.19, 100.21, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
candles,
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": 0.4,
"probability_up": 0.58,
"skill": 0.18,
"block_entry": False,
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["atr_exit_blocked_by_cost"] is True
def test_torch_forecast_holds_atr_trailing_exit_below_min_profit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast", min_hold_seconds=60, min_exit_net_percent=0.20)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _trend_entry_candles(close=100.35)
candles[-1].atr_14 = 0.6
position = Position(
1,
"MNTUSDT",
1,
100,
100,
0.1,
96,
120,
102,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("MNTUSDT", 100.35, 100.34, 100.36, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
candles,
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": 0.4,
"probability_up": 0.58,
"skill": 0.18,
"block_entry": False,
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["atr_exit_blocked_by_min_profit"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["estimated_exit_net_percent"] < settings.min_exit_net_percent
def test_torch_forecast_holds_negative_forecast_exit_below_min_profit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast", min_hold_seconds=60, min_exit_net_percent=0.20)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
1,
"BTCUSDT",
1,
100,
100,
0.1,
96,
120,
100.5,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 100.35, 100.34, 100.36, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_trend_entry_candles(close=100.35),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"model": "torch_lstm",
"expected_return_percent": -0.2,
"probability_up": 0.40,
"skill": 0.18,
"block_entry": False,
"reason": "model turned down",
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["forecast_exit_blocked_by_min_profit"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["estimated_exit_net_percent"] < settings.min_exit_net_percent
def test_torch_forecast_rebound_fallback_holds_without_model(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast", min_hold_seconds=180)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
1,
"XRPUSDT",
5,
1.0,
5.0,
0.005,
0.96,
1.035,
1.0,
entry_diagnostics={"entry_path": "rebound_fallback", "edge_mode": "rebound_fallback"},
)
ticker = Ticker("XRPUSDT", 1.001, 1.0009, 1.0011, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_trend_entry_candles(close=1.0, ema50=0.98),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": False,
"model": "none",
"reason": "no valid PyTorch LSTM/GRU model for symbol",
"block_entry": False,
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["rebound_fallback_position"] is True
assert "rebound fallback" in signal.reason
def test_torch_forecast_rebound_fallback_still_sells_take_profit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, strategy_mode="torch_forecast")
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
1,
"XRPUSDT",
5,
1.0,
5.0,
0.005,
0.96,
1.035,
1.04,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
entry_diagnostics={"entry_path": "rebound_fallback", "edge_mode": "rebound_fallback"},
)
ticker = Ticker("XRPUSDT", 1.036, 1.0359, 1.0361, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_trend_entry_candles(close=1.0, ema50=0.98),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": False,
"model": "none",
"reason": "no valid PyTorch LSTM/GRU model for symbol",
"block_entry": False,
},
)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "take-profit" in signal.reason
def test_strategy_emits_buy_when_score_passes_threshold(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=101,
bid=100.99,
ask=101.01,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=1.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal("BTCUSDT", _ready_candles(), ticker, open_positions_for_symbol=0)
assert signal.action == "BUY"
assert signal.confidence >= settings.min_signal_confidence
def test_strategy_blocks_negative_long_pattern(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=101,
bid=100.99,
ask=101.01,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=1.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={"label": "нисходящий тренд", "score": 0.28},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["entry_blocked_by_pattern"] is True
def test_strategy_blocks_strong_negative_learning(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=101,
bid=100.99,
ask=101.01,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=1.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={"label": "нейтрально", "score": 0.5},
learning={
"sample_size": 10,
"net_pnl": -1.0,
"win_rate": 0.1,
"confidence_adjustment": -0.12,
"reason": "test",
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["entry_blocked_by_learning"] is True
def test_strategy_blocks_entry_when_llm_advisor_blocks(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, llm_advisor_enabled=True)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=101,
bid=100.99,
ask=101.01,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=1.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
llm={
"confidence_adjustment": -0.03,
"block_entry": True,
"reason_ru": "риск падения",
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["entry_blocked_by_llm"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["llm_adjustment"] == -0.03
def test_strategy_activates_grid_and_sets_position_size(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=101,
bid=100.99,
ask=101.01,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=0.1,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=2,
pattern={
"label": "боковик",
"score": 0.48,
"tags": ["боковик"],
"metrics": {"high20": 105, "low20": 100, "ema_gap_percent": 0.1, "ret_20_percent": 0.2},
},
llm={"market_regime": "range", "grid_suitable": True, "risk_level": "medium"},
)
assert signal.action == "BUY"
assert signal.diagnostics["trade_mode"] == "GRID"
assert signal.diagnostics["grid"]["active"] is True
assert 1 <= signal.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] <= settings.grid_max_position_usdt
def test_strategy_uses_fractional_kelly_position_size(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, max_position_usdt=20, kelly_fraction=0.25, kelly_max_fraction=0.20)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=101,
bid=100.99,
ask=101.01,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=1.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast={"usable": True, "probability_up": 0.70, "volatility_percent": 0.2},
account={"equity": 200.0},
)
sizing = signal.diagnostics["position_sizing"]
assert signal.action == "BUY"
assert sizing["method"] == "fractional_kelly"
assert sizing["kelly_probability_source"] == "forecast"
assert sizing["kelly_bankroll_usdt"] == 200.0
assert sizing["kelly_effective_fraction"] > 0
assert signal.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] == settings.max_position_usdt
def test_strategy_scales_kelly_with_positive_learning_multiplier(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, max_position_usdt=50, kelly_fraction=0.25, kelly_max_fraction=0.20)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=101,
bid=100.99,
ask=101.01,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=1.0,
)
common = dict(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
candles=_ready_candles(),
ticker=ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
forecast={"usable": True, "probability_up": 0.62, "volatility_percent": 0.2},
account={"equity": 200.0},
)
neutral = strategy.entry_signal(**common)
scaled = strategy.entry_signal(
**common,
learning={"adaptive_rules": {"effective_position_size_multiplier": 1.5}},
)
assert neutral.action == "BUY"
assert scaled.action == "BUY"
assert scaled.diagnostics["position_sizing"]["risk_multiplier"] > neutral.diagnostics["position_sizing"]["risk_multiplier"]
assert scaled.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] > neutral.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"]
assert scaled.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] <= settings.max_position_usdt
def test_strategy_buys_probabilistic_rebound_after_stabilized_drop(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, rebound_entry_confidence=0.58, rebound_min_probability=0.58)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _rebound_candles()
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=candles[-1].close,
bid=candles[-1].close * 0.9999,
ask=candles[-1].close * 1.0001,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=-2.0,
)
pattern = PatternAnalyzer().analyze(candles, ticker).as_dict()
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
candles,
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={**pattern, "label": "нисходящий тренд", "score": 0.28},
)
assert signal.action == "BUY"
assert signal.diagnostics["trade_mode"] == "REBOUND"
assert signal.diagnostics["rebound"]["active"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["entry_blocked_by_pattern"] is False
assert signal.diagnostics["position_notional_usdt"] <= settings.rebound_max_position_usdt
def test_strategy_rebound_does_not_override_llm_block(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(
tmp_path,
llm_advisor_enabled=True,
rebound_entry_confidence=0.58,
rebound_min_probability=0.58,
)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _rebound_candles()
ticker = Ticker(
symbol="BTCUSDT",
last_price=candles[-1].close,
bid=candles[-1].close * 0.9999,
ask=candles[-1].close * 1.0001,
turnover_24h=10_000_000,
volume_24h=1000,
change_24h=-2.0,
)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
candles,
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=0,
pattern={"label": "нисходящий тренд", "score": 0.28},
llm={"block_entry": True, "reason_ru": "риск продолжения падения"},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["entry_blocked_by_llm"] is True
def test_strategy_trailing_stop_only_exits_after_profit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _ready_candles()
from crypto_spot_bot.models import Position
position = Position(
id=1,
symbol="BTCUSDT",
qty=1,
entry_price=100,
notional_usdt=100,
entry_fee_usdt=0.1,
stop_loss=90,
take_profit=120,
highest_price=100.5,
)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 99.6, 99.5, 99.7, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(position, candles, ticker)
assert signal.reason != "сработал trailing stop выше цены входа"
def test_strategy_adaptive_learning_holds_unprofitable_ema_exit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, min_hold_seconds=60)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
candles = _ready_candles()
candles[-2].close = 100.2
candles[-1].close = 99.9
candles[-1].ema_20 = 98.0
candles[-1].ema_50 = 100.0
position = Position(
id=1,
symbol="BTCUSDT",
qty=1,
entry_price=100,
notional_usdt=100,
entry_fee_usdt=0.1,
stop_loss=90,
take_profit=120,
highest_price=100.5,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 99.9, 99.89, 99.91, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
candles,
ticker,
{
"adaptive_rules": {
"ema_exit_mode": "profit_only",
"min_exit_profit_percent": 0.31,
"min_hold_seconds": 60,
}
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert "EMA50" in signal.reason
def test_strategy_blocks_entry_when_learning_exposure_target_exceeded(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 101, 100.99, 101.01, 10_000_000, 1000, 1.0)
signal = strategy.entry_signal(
"BTCUSDT",
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
open_positions_for_symbol=1,
learning={
"adaptive_rules": {
"over_target_exposure": True,
"target_total_exposure_usdt": 35,
"current_total_exposure_usdt": 80,
}
},
)
assert signal.action == "HOLD"
assert signal.diagnostics["entry_blocked_by_adaptive_rules"] is True
assert signal.diagnostics["adaptive_block_reason"] == "экспозиция выше цели обучения"
def test_strategy_learning_reduce_now_sells_after_min_hold(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, min_hold_seconds=60)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
id=7,
symbol="BTCUSDT",
qty=1,
entry_price=100,
notional_usdt=100,
entry_fee_usdt=0.1,
stop_loss=90,
take_profit=120,
highest_price=101,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 99.5, 99.49, 99.51, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
{"adaptive_rules": {"reduce_exposure": True, "reduce_now": True, "min_hold_seconds": 60}},
)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "экспозицию" in signal.reason
def test_strategy_forecast_sells_to_lock_profit(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, min_hold_seconds=60)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
id=9,
symbol="BTCUSDT",
qty=1,
entry_price=100,
notional_usdt=100,
entry_fee_usdt=0.1,
stop_loss=90,
take_profit=120,
highest_price=101.5,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 101, 100.99, 101.01, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"skill": 0.2,
"expected_return_percent": -0.2,
"probability_up": 0.35,
"reason": "тестовый негативный прогноз",
},
)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "прогноз временного ряда" in signal.reason
def test_strategy_forecast_sells_to_limit_loss_before_stop(make_settings, tmp_path) -> None:
settings = make_settings(tmp_path, min_hold_seconds=60, stop_loss_percent=0.02)
strategy = SpotStrategy(settings)
position = Position(
id=10,
symbol="BTCUSDT",
qty=1,
entry_price=100,
notional_usdt=100,
entry_fee_usdt=0.1,
stop_loss=98,
take_profit=120,
highest_price=100.4,
opened_at=utc_now() - timedelta(seconds=600),
)
ticker = Ticker("BTCUSDT", 99.2, 99.19, 99.21, 1_000_000, 100, 0)
signal = strategy.exit_signal(
position,
_ready_candles(),
ticker,
forecast={
"usable": True,
"skill": 0.2,
"expected_return_percent": -0.2,
"probability_up": 0.35,
"reason": "тестовый негативный прогноз",
},
)
assert signal.action == "SELL"
assert "ограничиваем убыток" in signal.reason